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Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: A signal from the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was flagged on Thursday, November 04, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.
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Table of Contents



Volume 1: Technical Analysis:

Chapter 1:

This look at Quest Diagnostics Incorporated begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See DGX Classical Analysis.

Chapter 2:

Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See DGX Volatility Risk.

Chapter 3:

This section shows historical volumes for sales of DGX stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See DGX Historical Volume.

Chapter 4:

The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See DGX Calendar Year Trends.

Chapter 5:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Quest Diagnostics Incorporated prices. See Average Indicators.




Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:

Chapter 6:

Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators.

Chapter 7:

A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to DGX historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of DGX.

Chapter 8:

Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of DGX stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.

Chapter 9:

Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter 10:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward DGX. See Market Sentiment.

Section 11:

The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Chapter 12:

Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.




Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:

Chapter 13:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of DGX prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.

Chapter 14:

Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.

Chapter 15:

Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the DGX historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.

Chapter 16:

Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See DGX Price Predictions.




Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:

Chapter 17:

The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for DGX. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.

Chapter 18:

The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See DGX Multi-Company Strategies .

Appendix A:

The statistical abstract for Quest Diagnostics Incorporated gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See DGX Final Results .
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