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Below - Illustration from Chapter 6: This week has not seen any highly significant signals. On Tuesday, October 26, 2010, the "Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20", indicator produced a possible sell alert.
Week-end Altitude

Summary of Recent Reports:

No commentary available from weekend report.




Table of Contents



Volume I: Traditional Analysis:

Chapter 1:

This look at Dollar Tree, Inc. begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See DLTR Classical Analysis.

Chapter 2:

Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See DLTR Volatility Risk.

Chapter 3:

Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See DLTR Historical Volume.

Chapter 4:

The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See DLTR Calendar Year Trends.

Chapter 5:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Dollar Tree, Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.




Volume II: Intermediate Analysis Techniques:

Chapter 6:

Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators.

Chapter 7:

This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of DLTR.

Chapter 8:

Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.

Chapter 9:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter 10:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward DLTR. See Market Sentiment.

Section 11:

This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Chapter 12:

Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.




Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:

Chapter 13:

Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.

Chapter 14:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Dollar Tree, Inc. historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.

Chapter 15:

Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of Dollar Tree, Inc. in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.

Chapter 16:

Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to DLTR over the next few months? See DLTR Price Predictions.




Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:

Chapter 17:

This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Dollar Tree, Inc. speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.

Chapter 18:

The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See DLTR Multi-Company Strategies .

Appendix A:

The statistical abstract for Dollar Tree, Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See DLTR Final Results .
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