| Below - This chart from Chapter 5 reveals a strong signal: On Tuesday, June 22, 2010, the 20 session moving average sank under over the 200 session average. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:From the Update 6/22/2010 : This signal is of interest: On Tuesday, June 22, 2010, the 20 session moving average sank under over the 200 session average. The candle for6/22/2010 was a Star long day coming after the prior day's Engulfing long day. A star happens when the body range is entirely outside the range of the day before. So there has been a gap, indicating a strong new direction. Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, June 19, 2010:
Looking back from Friday, June 18, 2010, the past 5 sessions have seen higher closing prices than the day before. Although the price increased by 5.02 % for FPL this week, the volume actually fell, sending cautionary note for the future. FPL seems fairly priced, according to the Wilder RSI, and the position is moving to the bullish. The general RSI remains in the same range as last week, with a small favorable drift. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It seems to be rising, coming from 101.93% to 102.03% in the past month. The MACD Cycle is in phase one here, with FPL 5.00 % above the 200 bar SMA, increasing the distance over the week. |
Table of Contents
Volume 1: Technical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for FPL Group, Inc., and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See FPL Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See FPL Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of FPL stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See FPL Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of FPL Group, Inc. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See FPL Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of FPL Group, Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of FPL.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of FPL stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward FPL Group, Inc. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of FPL Group, Inc. in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See FPL Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for FPL. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See FPL Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for FPL Group, Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See FPL Final Results . |
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