| Below - Illustration from Chapter 15: On Friday, March 12, 2010, the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", indicator produced a possible buy alert. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 13, 2010:
It is generally thought to be bad news when both price and volume decline, which is exactly what happened to GCI this week, but sometimes this situation can be a buying opportunity. GCI is approximately neutral in conventional RSI, but the Line of Least Resistance is moving toward bearish. The conventional RSI is almost unchanged from the previous week. No signal from the Negative Volume Index: It lost ground during the last week, but is still up for the month. GCI is now in phase two of the oscillation cycle around the 200 session average. The price is 53.00 % above the line, but some convergence has taken place during the week. From the Update 3/17/2010 : The candle on 3/17/2010 is a Star long day. This comes after a stepped up long day the day before. A star happens when the body range is entirely outside the range of the day before. So there has been a gap, indicating a strong new direction. On Friday, March 12, 2010, the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", indicator produced a possible buy alert. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis of GCI:
Chapter 1:
This look at Gannett Co., Inc. begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See GCI Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See GCI Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See GCI Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See GCI Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Gannett Co., Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in GCI stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of GCI.
Chapter 8:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward GCI. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of GCI prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of Gannett Co., Inc. in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to GCI over the next few months? See GCI Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Gannett Co., Inc. speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See GCI Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Gannett Co., Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See GCI Final Results . |
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