| Below - Illustration from Chapter 6: No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20", was produced on Tuesday, May 12, 2009. In this range, it is most often considered to be a buy signal. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, May 30, 2009:
Over the past 3 sessions (ending Friday, May 29, 2009), the closing price has been lower than the previous day. Falling price on increasing volume can be bad news for GM or any other issue. Major damage occurred with the price slipping by -47.55 %. The Wilder RSI is favorable, and becoming more so, but there is not yet enough strength here to trigger a buy signal. There is a favorable category change from last week's close. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. This indicator is down over the last month. The price of GM is -84.00 % below the 200 session average and is continuing to diverge in a negative manner, indicating phase 3 of the the 4 phase MACD cycle is still in effect. From the Update 6/1/2009 : The candle on 6/1/2009 is a short body. This is after a Star nearly pure long dayon the preceeding session. No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20", was produced on Tuesday, May 12, 2009. In this range, it is most often considered to be a buy signal. |
Table of Contents
Volume 1: Technical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
This look at General Motors begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See GM Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See GM Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of GM stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See GM Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See GM Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of General Motors prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in GM stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of GM.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of GM stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward General Motors show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of General Motors historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of General Motors in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See GM Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for General Motors speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See GM Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for General Motors gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See GM Final Results . |
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