|Below - Illustration from Chapter 6: On Tuesday, November 02, 2010 one of the calibrated RSI indicators entered the sell warning zone.|
Summary of Recent Reports:No commentary available from weekend report.
Table of Contents
Volume 1: Technical Analysis:
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. historical prices are subjected to old fashioned Classical Time Series Analysis in this section. Patterns that emerge here will be a starting point for more detailed analysis. See JKHY Classical Analysis.
This survey looks at historical volatility of Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See JKHY Volatility Risk.
This section shows historical volumes for sales of JKHY stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See JKHY Historical Volume.
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See JKHY Calendar Year Trends.
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in JKHY stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Politics and Prices of JKHY.
Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
The mood of the market toward Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of JKHY prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the JKHY historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to JKHY over the next few months? See JKHY Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for JKHY. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See JKHY Multi-Company Strategies .
The statistical abstract for Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See JKHY Final Results .
More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.: