| Below - This chart from Chapter 6 reveals a strong signal: The conventional Wilder RSI Indicator crossed the threshhold to produce a sell signal on Friday, March 05, 2010. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:From the Update 3/12/2010 : This signal is of interest: The conventional Wilder RSI Indicator crossed the threshhold to produce a sell signal on Friday, March 05, 2010. The candle on 3/12/2010 is a Star long day. This is after a Star Doji Manon the preceeding session. A star happens when the body range is entirely outside the range of the day before. So there has been a gap, indicating a strong new direction. Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 13, 2010:
The volume fell this week on JWN while the price rose. So caution is advised. In spite of some improvement in the last week, the Wilder RSI is calling for caution. There is a favorable category change from last week's close. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It lost ground during the last week, but is still up for the month. The phase of the 200 day Simple Moving Average was hardly altered during the week. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis of JWN:
Chapter 1:
The Classical Analysis of Time Series establishes a good starting point in the analysis, and provides a high vantage point for viewing patterns of behaviour in the prices over the entire history of Nordstrom, Inc.. See JWN Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See JWN Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See JWN Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Nordstrom, Inc. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See JWN Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Nordstrom, Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in JWN stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of JWN.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of JWN stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward JWN. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of JWN prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the JWN historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to JWN over the next few months? See JWN Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for JWN. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See JWN Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Nordstrom, Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See JWN Final Results . |
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