|Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. A signal from the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was flagged on Friday, October 15, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal. |
Summary of Recent Reports:No commentary available from weekend report.
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis:
This look at The Kroger Co. begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See KR Classical Analysis.
This survey looks at historical volatility of The Kroger Co. prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See KR Volatility Risk.
Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See KR Historical Volume.
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See KR Calendar Year Trends.
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of The Kroger Co. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in KR stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of KR.
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
The mood of the market toward The Kroger Co. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of KR prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of The Kroger Co. historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of The Kroger Co. in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to KR over the next few months? See KR Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for KR. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See KR Multi-Company Strategies .
The statistical abstract for The Kroger Co. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See KR Final Results .
More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for The Kroger Co.: