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Below - Illustration from Chapter 9: The Volume Portion Index (VPI) on Wednesday, March 17, 2010 reached a range extreme. Interpretation of this event is dependent on the direction of the price movement.
Week-end Altitude

Summary of Recent Reports:

Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 13, 2010:
The behaviour of LOJN last week, with the price and volume slumping together, is classically bearish, but it may sometimes reveal a time to buy the dips. Conditions are becoming more favorable, according to the 14 bar Wilder RSI, but the values are in the middle of the range, indicating this issue is probably near the fair price for the time being. The conventional RSI is almost unchanged from the previous week.

No signal from the Negative Volume Index: This indicator is down over the last month.

The price of LOJN is -4.00 % below the 200 session average and is continuing to diverge in a negative manner, indicating phase 3 of the the 4 phase MACD cycle is still in effect.

From the Update 3/17/2010 : The candle on 3/17/2010 is a nearly pure long day. This is after a Star short body Hammeron the preceeding session.

The Volume Portion Index (VPI) on Wednesday, March 17, 2010 reached a range extreme. Interpretation of this event is dependent on the direction of the price movement.





Table of Contents



Volume I: LOJN Classical Analysis:

Chapter 1:

This look at LoJack Corp begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See LOJN Classical Analysis.

Chapter 2:

This survey looks at historical volatility of LoJack Corp prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See LOJN Volatility Risk.

Chapter 3:

This section shows historical volumes for sales of LOJN stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See LOJN Historical Volume.

Chapter 4:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of LoJack Corp Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See LOJN Calendar Year Trends.

Chapter 5:

Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of LoJack Corp prices. See Average Indicators.




Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:

Chapter 6:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in LOJN stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.

Chapter 7:

Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Politics and Prices of LOJN.

Chapter 8:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.

Chapter 9:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter 10:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward LOJN. See Market Sentiment.

Section 11:

This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Chapter 12:

Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.




Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:

Chapter 13:

Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.

Chapter 14:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of LoJack Corp historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.

Chapter 15:

Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the LOJN historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.

Chapter 16:

Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to LOJN over the next few months? See LOJN Price Predictions.




Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:

Chapter 17:

The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for LOJN. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.

Chapter 18:

The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See LOJN Multi-Company Strategies .

Appendix A:

The statistical abstract for LoJack Corp gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See LOJN Final Results .
General Market Conditions

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