| Below - Illustration from Chapter 15: A signal from the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", was flagged on Friday, March 12, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 13, 2010:
Over the past 2 sessions (ending Friday, March 12, 2010), the closing price has been lower than the previous day. This week's transaction volume increased as well as the price for LXK. According to the Wilder RSI, LXK is in the middle, but it is moving in a bearish direction. The RSI has weakened since last week, but not enough to change the category. No signal from the Negative Volume Index: It seems to be rising, coming from 101.59% to 101.62% in the past month. The phase of the 200 day Simple Moving Average was hardly altered during the week. From the Update 3/17/2010 : The candle on 3/17/2010 is a stepped up medium body. This comes after a short body the day before. The stepped candle has a body that is shadowed at one end only. It can indicate an orderly progression of the market. A signal from the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", was flagged on Friday, March 12, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal. |
Table of Contents
Volume 1: Technical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Lexmark International, Inc., and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See LXK Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
This survey looks at historical volatility of Lexmark International, Inc. prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See LXK Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of LXK stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See LXK Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Lexmark International, Inc. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See LXK Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Lexmark International, Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in LXK stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of LXK.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward LXK. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of LXK prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the LXK historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to LXK over the next few months? See LXK Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for LXK. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See LXK Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Lexmark International, Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See LXK Final Results . |
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