|Below - Illustration from Chapter 9: No really strong signals during the past week. On Thursday, October 28, 2010, the "VPI Volume Portion Index Signals at 80 and 20", indicator produced a possible sell alert. |
Summary of Recent Reports:No commentary available from weekend report.
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis of MKTAY:
An introductory chapter looks at the price history of MKTAY by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See MKTAY Classical Analysis.
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See MKTAY Volatility Risk.
Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See MKTAY Historical Volume.
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See MKTAY Calendar Year Trends.
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Makita Corp. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in MKTAY stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to MKTAY historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of MKTAY.
Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
The mood of the market toward Makita Corp. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Makita Corp. historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the MKTAY historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to MKTAY over the next few months? See MKTAY Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Makita Corp. speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See MKTAY Multi-Company Strategies .
The statistical abstract for Makita Corp. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See MKTAY Final Results .
More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Makita Corp.: