| Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Friday, February 19, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 06, 2010:
As of Friday, March 05, 2010, the closing price has been up for 4 days in a row. The price of MOLX rose by 4.74 % this week, but the volume declined, which is a caution sign. Conditions are becoming more favorable, according to the 14 bar Wilder RSI, but the values are in the middle of the range, indicating this issue is probably near the fair price for the time being. The general RSI remains in the same range as last week, with a small favorable drift. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It seems to be rising, coming from 99.24% to 99.28% in the past month. After increasing the spread over the week, MOLX is now 14.00 % above the 200 session Simple Moving Average. From the Update 3/11/2010 : The candle on 3/11/2010 is a stepped down long day. This is after a Star long dayon the preceeding session. While not a particularly powerful sign, the stepped down candle shows an orderly market, with some selling pressure. No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Friday, February 19, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis of MOLX:
Chapter 1:
An introductory chapter looks at the price history of MOLX by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See MOLX Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See MOLX Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See MOLX Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See MOLX Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Molex Incorporated prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in MOLX stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to MOLX historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of MOLX.
Chapter 8:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward Molex Incorporated show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of MOLX prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the MOLX historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See MOLX Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Molex Incorporated speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See MOLX Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Molex Incorporated gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See MOLX Final Results . |
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