| Below - Illustration from Chapter 6: On Tuesday, March 16, 2010 one of the calibrated RSI indicators entered the sell warning zone. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 13, 2010:
As of Friday, March 12, 2010, the closing price has been up for 8 days in a row. Although the price increased by 2.31 % for NKE this week, the volume actually fell, sending cautionary note for the future. Caution is advised on account of the unfavorable level of the Wilder RSI, although it has improved in the last week . There is a favorable category change from last week's close. Negative Volume Indexes are running at fair price levels. It seems to be rising, coming from 99.76% to 99.78% in the past month. There has not been much change in the phase of the 200 day moving average since this time last week. From the Update 3/18/2010 : The recent session is represented as a Star long day, following the Star medium body on Wednesday. A star happens when the body range is entirely outside the range of the day before. So there has been a gap, indicating a strong new direction. On Tuesday, March 16, 2010 one of the calibrated RSI indicators entered the sell warning zone. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis of NKE:
Chapter 1:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Nike Footwear, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See NKE Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See NKE Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See NKE Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Nike Footwear Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See NKE Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Nike Footwear prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in NKE stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Politics and Prices of NKE.
Chapter 8:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward NKE. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Chapter 13:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Nike Footwear historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of Nike Footwear in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See NKE Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for NKE. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See NKE Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Nike Footwear gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See NKE Final Results . |
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