| Below - This chart from Chapter 5 reveals a strong signal: On Wednesday, March 03, 2010, the 20 session moving average sank under over the 200 session average. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:From the Update 3/11/2010 : A signal that may be significant has occurred. On Wednesday, March 03, 2010, the 20 session moving average sank under over the 200 session average. The latest trading day is represented as a stepped up long day, coming on the heels of a stepped up long day on Wednesday. The stepped candle has a body that is shadowed at one end only. It can indicate an orderly progression of the market. Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 06, 2010:
As of Friday, March 05, 2010, the closing price has been up for 3 days in a row. This week's transaction volume increased as well as the price for PBI. PBI does not seem to be over-bought or under-bought at the moment. There is a favorable category change from last week's close. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It lost ground during the last week, but is still up for the month. Since the previous week the phase of the oscillator around the 200 bar average is almost unchanged. |
Table of Contents
Volume 1: PBI Technical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
This look at Pitney Bowes Inc. begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See PBI Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See PBI Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of PBI stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See PBI Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Pitney Bowes Inc. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See PBI Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Pitney Bowes Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Intermediate Analysis Techniques:
Chapter 6:
Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to PBI historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of PBI.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of PBI stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward PBI. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of PBI prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the PBI historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to PBI over the next few months? See PBI Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for PBI. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See PBI Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Pitney Bowes Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See PBI Final Results . |
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