|Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Monday, November 15, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a buy signal. |
Summary of Recent Reports:No commentary available from weekend report.
Table of Contents
Volume I: PCG Classical Analysis:
This look at PG&E Corporation begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See PCG Classical Analysis.
This survey looks at historical volatility of PG&E Corporation prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See PCG Volatility Risk.
This section shows historical volumes for sales of PCG stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See PCG Historical Volume.
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See PCG Calendar Year Trends.
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of PG&E Corporation prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in PCG stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of PCG.
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of PCG stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
The mood of the market toward PG&E Corporation show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the PCG historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See PCG Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for PCG. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See PCG Multi-Company Strategies .
The statistical abstract for PG&E Corporation gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See PCG Final Results .
More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for PG&E Corporation: