| Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Friday, October 30, 2009. In this range, it is most often considered to be a buy signal. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, October 31, 2009:
As of closing time on the NYSE Friday, October 30, 2009, the price has been down for 4 days in a row. Last week the price of SGP went down and the volume grew. Losses were limited to -2.66 % for the week. SGP does not seem to be over-bought or under-bought at the moment. The conventional RSI is almost unchanged from the previous week. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. This indicator is down over the last month. SGP is now in phase two of the oscillation cycle around the 200 session average. The price is 17.00 % above the line, but some convergence has taken place during the week. From the Update 11/3/2009 : The candle representing 11/3/2009 was a stepped down short body after a stepped up short body previously. While not a particularly powerful sign, the stepped down candle shows an orderly market, with some selling pressure. The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Friday, October 30, 2009. In this range, it is most often considered to be a buy signal. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Classical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Schering-Plough Corporation, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See SGP Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See SGP Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See SGP Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See SGP Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Schering-Plough Corporation prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in SGP stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Politics and Prices of SGP.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of SGP stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward Schering-Plough Corporation show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of SGP prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Schering-Plough Corporation historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the SGP historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to SGP over the next few months? See SGP Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Schering-Plough Corporation speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See SGP Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Schering-Plough Corporation gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See SGP Final Results . |
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