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Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: On Thursday, November 04, 2010, the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", indicator produced a possible sell alert.
Week-end Altitude

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Table of Contents



Volume 1: Technical Analysis:

Chapter 1:

This look at Questar Corporation begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See STR Classical Analysis.

Chapter 2:

Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See STR Volatility Risk.

Chapter 3:

Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See STR Historical Volume.

Chapter 4:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Questar Corporation Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See STR Calendar Year Trends.

Chapter 5:

Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Questar Corporation prices. See Average Indicators.




Volume II: Intermediate Analysis Techniques:

Chapter 6:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in STR stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.

Chapter 7:

A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to STR historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of STR.

Chapter 8:

Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.

Chapter 9:

Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter 10:

The mood of the market toward Questar Corporation show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.

Section 11:

The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Chapter 12:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.




Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:

Chapter 13:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of STR prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.

Chapter 14:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Questar Corporation historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.

Chapter 15:

Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the STR historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.

Chapter 16:

Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See STR Price Predictions.




Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:

Chapter 17:

The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for STR. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.

Chapter 18:

The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See STR Multi-Company Strategies .

Appendix A:

The statistical abstract for Questar Corporation gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See STR Final Results .
General Market Conditions

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