| Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: 2 days ago, the 5 session moving average rose up over the 200 bar moving average. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, December 19, 2009:
Looking back from Friday, December 18, 2009, the past 3 sessions have seen higher closing prices than the day before. Falling price on increasing volume can be bad news for ZAP or any other issue. Losses were limited to -1.89 % for the week. The Wilder RSI is favorable, and becoming more so, but there is not yet enough strength here to trigger a buy signal. There is a favorable category change from last week's close. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It seems to be rising, coming from 103.32% to 103.35% in the past month. The phase of the 200 day Simple Moving Average was hardly altered during the week. From the Update 12/23/2009 : The candle for12/23/2009 was a stepped up medium body coming after the prior day's short body. The stepped candle has a body that is shadowed at one end only. It can indicate an orderly progression of the market. 2 days ago, the 5 session moving average rose up over the 200 bar moving average. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Classical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
Zapata Nevada historical prices are subjected to old fashioned Classical Time Series Analysis in this section. Patterns that emerge here will be a starting point for more detailed analysis. See ZAP Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See ZAP Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See ZAP Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Zapata Nevada Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See ZAP Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Zapata Nevada prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in ZAP stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to ZAP historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of ZAP.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward ZAP. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Chapter 13:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of Zapata Nevada in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See ZAP Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for ZAP. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See ZAP Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Zapata Nevada gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See ZAP Final Results . |
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