Trading Strategy for CCU

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Annualized Returns of Trading Strategies for CCU
Best Returnat StopEpisodesLength Best +10at Stop -5 to -25
Buy and Hold26.08 %0.211201.00
Buy On Rise Hold25.49 %0.27918.33
Buy On Dip Hold28.11 %0.53472.76
Signal and Hold26.51 %0.191329.14
Stops Only18.50 %-0.112.00108.9218.50 %-0.1110.18 %
Sell Signal Trim Stops21.68 %-0.105.0045.9019.36 %-0.1214.92 %
Buy Signals21.42 %-0.0317.0014.9117.63 %-0.2811.18 %
All Methods33.06 %-0.0229.008.5819.17 %-0.1313.98 %

This table shows the results some simple trading policies from brute-force calculations on every trading day during the last 10 years. The top lines of the table show results from several variations on the classic Buy and Hold strategy, for which the concept of stops does not apply. This much used strategy yielded 26.00 %.

The most basic flavor of the Buy and Hold strategy is tested by buying on every day of the period, then holding all the way to the present date. Many people practice some of the more realistic versions of Buy and Hold, for example, Momentum Investors might buy on rising prices and then hold. A speculator with a bit of sophistication might buy on dipping prices, while a technician might wait for technical signals to buy and then hold.

Generally, we have found the Buy-On-Dip policy to offer better returns than the Buy-On-Rise. That is true in this case, indicating some of the benefit of betting against the crowd when investing. Using technical indicators to buy and then hold, improves on the simple Buy and Hold strategy, but is still not the best.

Strategies lacking a stop-loss policy are too dangerous, given that every stock, sooner or later, will become worthless.

From the Report Dated 3/3/2010: At least from the standpoint of a single company strategy, the best setting over the past 10 years has been -11 percent for CCU when adjusting stops weekly. This setting has produced a historical yield of 18.00 %. (The yield during the holding period is annualized to provide this figure).

CCU:  Sliding Stops Reset Daily

How to set sliding stop limits for Clear Channel Communications:

Stop loss limit orders would appear to be almost always desirable. But where to set the stop limit is controversial. Setting to limit too low may allow for too great a loss. But setting the limit too high may cause the trade to "stop out" prematurely, perhaps missing a rally and also incurring an unwelcome brokerage fee.

Two issues need to be settled in arriving at a stop limit strategy. The first is to determine the price to position the stop loss at a percentage below the buy-in price. The second is to determine a strategy for raising or sliding the stop to lock in gains without undue risk of prematurely "stopping out" on some insignificant dip in price.

CCU:  Sliding Stops Reset Weekly


Some would advise you to set the stops at what you feel to be an acceptable loss. However, "feeling" is an extremely misleading guide. These charts are the output of a "brute force" calculation giving results for every stop loss setting from one percent to fifty percent on every trading day of the past ten years.

The bars represent the annual percentage appreciation achieved for each stop loss setting. This percentage is numbered on the right (blue) axis. The purple line depicts the number of "stop outs" on average per year at each stop loss setting . Transaction costs directly relate to this number on the left (purple) axis.

Sliding Stops Reset Monthly of Clear Channel Communications

These charts represent different strategies for "sliding" the stops to lock in gains. The first simply moves the stop up every day to the pre-determined percentage below the close price. The others move the stops up at the end of every week, and at the end of every month. Generally speaking, it seems better to move the stops less frequently than daily.

General Market Conditions

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More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Clear Channel Communications:








Sliding stops trimmed by sell signals of Clear Channel Communications
CCU:  Buy Signals and sliding stops
Buy Signals and sliding stops of Clear Channel Communications




Technical Buy Signals and Trailing Stop-loss

Trailing stops set at -18.00 %
StartEndBuy InEnd PriceDifTotalTypeSessions
9/29/20007/11/200113.2012.55-0.65-0.651195
10/24/20007/11/200112.3212.550.23-0.421178
11/9/20007/11/200112.2512.550.30-0.121166
1/2/20017/11/200112.5812.55-0.03-0.151131
1/4/20017/11/200114.8212.55-2.27-2.421129
1/30/20017/11/200115.1812.55-2.63-5.051112
2/9/20017/11/200114.8212.55-2.27-7.321104
3/26/20017/11/200114.8212.55-2.27-9.59174
3/30/20017/11/200115.3812.55-2.83-12.42170
4/6/20019/19/200114.3612.19-2.17-14.591110
4/27/20019/19/200114.3512.19-2.16-16.75196
5/2/20019/19/200114.3212.19-2.13-18.88193
5/21/20019/20/200114.5411.74-2.80-21.68181
6/5/20019/27/200113.7511.06-2.69-24.37176
6/19/20019/27/200113.2011.06-2.14-26.51166
6/28/20019/27/200113.2911.06-2.23-28.74159
6/29/20019/27/200113.4411.06-2.38-31.12158
7/5/20019/27/200113.0211.06-1.96-33.08155
8/7/20019/27/200113.2311.06-2.17-35.25132
8/17/20019/27/200113.2311.06-2.17-37.42124
9/10/20019/28/200113.2610.42-2.84-40.26110
9/20/200110/31/200111.749.64-2.10-42.36129
10/10/20012/12/20029.919.24-0.67-43.03184
11/6/20012/12/20029.889.24-0.64-43.67165
11/13/20012/12/200210.229.24-0.98-44.65160
1/2/20027/8/200210.788.67-2.11-46.761127
1/8/20027/8/200210.848.67-2.17-48.931123
1/16/20027/11/200210.018.35-1.66-50.591120
1/18/20027/11/20029.808.35-1.45-52.041118
1/24/20027/11/20029.948.35-1.59-53.631115
2/12/20027/11/20029.248.35-0.89-54.521103
3/5/20027/11/20029.978.35-1.62-56.14189
3/14/20027/11/200210.508.35-2.15-58.29182
3/20/20027/11/200210.438.35-2.08-60.37178
4/2/20027/15/20029.948.23-1.71-62.08172
4/10/20027/15/20029.868.23-1.63-63.71166
4/22/20027/15/20029.428.23-1.19-64.90158
5/8/20027/15/20029.598.23-1.36-66.26146
5/21/20027/15/20029.298.23-1.06-67.32137
5/30/20027/15/20029.208.23-0.97-68.29131
6/20/20029/23/20029.507.85-1.65-69.94165
6/25/20029/20/20029.808.01-1.79-71.73161
7/3/20029/23/20029.047.85-1.19-72.92156
7/30/20029/23/20029.537.85-1.68-74.60138
8/13/200210/16/20029.337.62-1.71-76.31145
8/21/20025/7/20048.9215.656.73-69.581431
9/27/20025/7/20047.8515.657.80-61.781405
11/19/20025/7/20048.9915.656.66-55.121368
12/9/20025/7/20049.3215.656.33-48.791355
12/26/20025/7/20049.4115.656.24-42.551343
12/30/20025/7/20049.2315.656.42-36.131341
2/24/20035/7/200410.2115.655.44-30.691304
3/10/20035/7/200410.8415.654.81-25.881294
3/21/20035/7/200411.2415.654.41-21.471285
3/25/20035/7/200411.1515.654.50-16.971283
4/30/20035/7/200411.2115.654.44-12.531258
5/7/20035/7/200411.2615.654.39-8.141253
5/19/20035/7/200411.1215.654.53-3.611245
6/3/20035/7/200411.1715.654.480.871235
6/19/20035/7/200411.0215.654.635.501223
7/10/20035/7/200411.6315.654.029.521209
7/17/20035/7/200411.5015.654.1513.671204
7/24/20035/7/200412.3015.653.3517.021199
7/31/20035/7/200412.6915.652.9619.981194
8/6/20035/7/200413.0015.652.6522.631190
8/13/20035/7/200412.5915.653.0625.691185
8/19/20035/7/200412.7115.652.9428.631181
9/10/20035/7/200412.3215.653.3331.961166
9/16/20035/7/200412.5915.653.0635.021162
9/30/20035/7/200413.3015.652.3537.371152
10/8/20035/7/200415.1315.650.5237.891146
10/15/20035/7/200415.8415.65-0.1937.701141
11/24/20035/7/200415.9915.65-0.3437.361113
12/8/20035/7/200417.6315.65-1.9835.381104
12/18/20035/7/200416.8515.65-1.2034.18196
3/16/20045/7/200419.2415.65-3.5930.59137
3/17/20045/7/200417.5915.65-1.9428.65136
3/31/20045/7/200418.2515.65-2.6026.05126
5/3/20046/12/200616.7318.782.0528.101531
5/6/20046/12/200616.2118.782.5730.671528
5/17/20046/12/200615.0718.783.7134.381521
5/19/20046/12/200615.4618.783.3237.701519
5/21/20046/12/200615.7218.783.0640.761517
6/17/20046/12/200615.8618.782.9243.681500
7/6/20046/12/200617.2418.781.5445.221488
7/19/20046/12/200617.9218.780.8646.081479
7/28/20046/12/200616.9418.781.8447.921472
8/3/20046/12/200616.8518.781.9349.851468
8/13/20046/12/200616.9818.781.8051.651460
8/16/20046/12/200617.0218.781.7653.411459
8/17/20046/12/200617.1718.781.6155.021458
9/15/20046/12/200619.0018.78-0.2254.801438
9/21/20046/12/200619.5018.78-0.7254.081434
10/5/20046/12/200619.1318.78-0.3553.731424
10/26/20046/12/200618.4018.780.3854.111409
11/10/20046/12/200620.1118.78-1.3352.781398
11/24/20046/12/200620.7718.78-1.9950.791388
12/3/20046/12/200620.5218.78-1.7449.051382
12/21/20046/12/200620.5618.78-1.7847.271370
1/5/20056/12/200619.9518.78-1.1746.101360
1/27/20056/12/200619.4018.78-0.6245.481345
2/15/20056/12/200620.0618.78-1.2844.201332
3/1/20056/12/200620.3918.78-1.6142.591323
3/7/20056/12/200620.5918.78-1.8140.781319
3/10/20056/12/200620.2418.78-1.4639.321316
3/28/20056/12/200620.3018.78-1.5237.801305
4/5/20056/12/200619.8118.78-1.0336.771299
4/7/20056/12/200620.2418.78-1.4635.311297
5/4/20056/12/200620.2518.78-1.4733.841278
5/27/20056/12/200619.5118.78-0.7333.111261
6/3/20056/12/200619.9318.78-1.1531.961257
6/14/20056/12/200620.1418.78-1.3630.601250
6/27/20056/12/200620.5918.78-1.8128.791241
7/5/20056/12/200619.8818.78-1.1027.691236
7/11/20056/12/200621.1518.78-2.3725.321232
7/27/20056/12/200622.5118.78-3.7321.591220
8/3/20056/12/200623.2818.78-4.5017.091215
8/16/20056/12/200623.2718.78-4.4912.601206
8/24/20056/12/200622.3118.78-3.539.071200
9/20/20056/12/200623.0018.78-4.224.851182
10/10/200511/16/200721.9030.378.4713.321530
10/27/200511/16/200719.9230.3710.4523.771517
11/4/200511/16/200720.4630.379.9133.681511
11/11/200511/16/200720.4630.379.9143.591506
11/23/200511/16/200721.1930.379.1852.771498
1/30/200611/16/200721.6030.378.7761.541454
2/28/20066/12/200623.1318.78-4.3557.19172
3/29/200611/16/200721.1230.379.2566.441413
4/25/200611/16/200721.5630.378.8175.251395
5/17/200611/16/200720.9630.379.4184.661379
6/6/200611/16/200720.8330.379.5494.201366
6/13/200611/16/200719.0130.3711.36105.561361
6/19/200611/16/200719.1630.3711.21116.771357
7/6/200611/16/200719.2930.3711.08127.851345
8/25/200611/16/200721.4830.378.89136.741309
9/5/200611/16/200721.7130.378.66145.401303
11/7/200611/16/200724.5330.375.84151.241258
11/14/200611/16/200724.8830.375.49156.731253
11/30/200611/16/200725.3730.375.00161.731242
12/12/200611/16/200726.0930.374.28166.011234
12/27/200611/16/200727.0130.373.36169.371224
1/12/200711/16/200725.0030.375.37174.741214
3/14/200711/16/200726.2630.374.11178.851173
3/21/200711/16/200727.8030.372.57181.421168
3/23/200711/16/200727.1430.373.23184.651166
4/17/200711/16/200728.9130.371.46186.111150
5/10/200711/16/200733.3930.37-3.02183.091133
5/23/200711/16/200731.8130.37-1.44181.651124
7/23/200711/16/200731.6330.37-1.26180.39183
8/6/200711/16/200730.9830.37-0.61179.78173
9/27/200711/16/200733.1530.37-2.78177.00136
10/29/200711/15/200738.8531.44-7.41169.59113
11/16/20071/22/200830.3727.31-3.06166.53143
12/4/20071/22/200831.2227.31-3.91162.62132
12/18/20071/23/200830.5126.99-3.52159.10123
1/3/20086/23/200830.8728.61-2.26156.841118
2/11/20086/23/200829.7828.61-1.17155.67192
5/13/20087/1/200832.8827.14-5.74149.93134
5/28/20087/1/200833.1427.14-6.00143.93124
6/13/20089/29/200831.5327.33-4.20139.73174
6/23/20089/29/200828.6127.33-1.28138.45168
7/9/20089/29/200827.8127.33-0.48137.97157
7/31/20089/29/200830.1027.33-2.77135.20141
8/15/20089/29/200833.4927.33-6.16129.04130
9/2/200810/6/200833.0726.59-6.48122.56124
9/26/200810/10/200830.1924.06-6.13116.43110
10/2/200810/10/200829.5924.06-5.53110.9016
10/10/200812/8/200824.0621.85-2.21108.69140
12/1/20083/3/201025.1239.0013.88122.570314
12/3/20083/3/201022.7939.0016.21138.780312
5/12/20093/3/201029.7439.009.26148.040203
5/18/20093/3/201030.5239.008.48156.520199
7/15/20093/3/201035.5839.003.42159.940159
7/21/20093/3/201035.4439.003.56163.500155
8/20/20093/3/201034.4439.004.56168.060133
9/8/20093/3/201032.8539.006.15174.210121
11/13/20093/3/201036.8539.002.15176.36073
11/30/20093/3/201035.4939.003.51179.87063
12/9/20093/3/201037.1639.001.84181.71056
12/18/20093/3/201037.7239.001.28182.99049
12/28/20093/3/201038.1139.000.89183.88044
1/14/20103/3/201041.1339.00-2.13181.75032


Total Session Units Invested 37657
Sessions In Time Span 2398 Avg. Units Invested 15.70
Unit SharesMarket Order CommissionsStop Order CommissionsProfit
100182 at $5.0029 at $15.00$16,830.00
100182 at $30.0029 at $30.00$11,845.00
1000182 at $5.0029 at $15.00$180,405.05
1000182 at $30.0029 at $30.00$175,420.05


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